Joshua Palmer

Weeks 1 and 2 of 2026 were the tease: 10.4 and then 11.3 points, the kind of stretch that makes you think the depth chart listing is a formality. Then came a zero in week 3 of 2026, 1.3 in week 4 of 2026, and no appearance at all in week 5 of 2026. Three catches and 80 yards on nine targets is what the whole season has produced, and two of the touchdowns came on basically nothing else.

He sits fourth among BUF receivers behind DJ Moore, Khalil Shakir and Keon Coleman, and Shakir and Coleman already held 37% of the targets between them last season. Receivers who sign on to rooms this crowded have lost 0.9 points a game the following year on average, and Palmer was already scraping 4.4 a game in 2025. He cleared 15 points in zero of his 12 weeks that year. There is no runway here for that to change.

He has missed time in three of the last four seasons, including week 5 of 2026 and stretches of 2025 and 2023, so even the best-case version has a shelf life. Our preseason number was 65 points, and the first month of 2026 gives no reason to revise it up. If he is filling a lineup spot for you, the answer is drop him and add a receiver with a clearer road to targets. If someone in your league is chasing those first two weeks, take their roster spot off their hands for whatever they will throw in.