Our read
Written Oct 18, from his facts through last season
Four games played in 2026, four zeros, and week 4 of 2026 he did not even suit up for. Baltimore has given him 0 carries and 0 targets through week 5 of 2026, which means the coaching staff under Jesse Minter has decided what he is before any of us had to.
The 2025 season already told you most of it. He averaged 1.6 points a game over 15 weeks, beat the position's weekly median once, and topped out at 11.2 in week 15 of 2025. His snap share sat at 13.5% that year, and playing out that profile has cost backs in his spot 1.6 points a game the following season on average, which is the trend line he is riding. The yards per touch jump to 5.8 was real, but it came on 16 total touches, a rounding error of a sample. The scoring chances were not there either: 3 red-zone touches all season and 0 carries or catches inside the ten. When the ball did go elsewhere in Baltimore, Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews combined for 46% of the targets, leaving scraps behind them. And this is a back who missed 8 weeks of 2024 to injury or a reserve list, so the availability question never really went away.
He is listed third, behind Derrick Henry and Justice Hill, with a bye not until week 13 of 2026. Our preseason number was 32 points and he is pacing for nothing. There is no headline coming to save this, so free up the spot and pick up someone with a path to touches.