Ja'Marr Chase

Run of Oct 19

Ja'Marr Chase

Wk 7 -- Read as the page opens
Rest of season 150.8 from week 6, WR9 in our order
Opp rank -- at BAL
Avg 16.0 a game in 5 games
Last 19.7 week 5 at MIA
Δ Proj --

This season 2026, PPR, through week 5

Ja'Marr Chase week by week, 2026
WkOppthe week's projectionPPR pointstargetscatchesreceiving yardsreceiving touchdownscarriesrushing yardsrushing touchdownsshare of snaps
1vs TB--3.24212000094%
2at HOU--26.59775200088%
3at PIT--24.8129981000100%
4vs JAX--5.73327000020%
5at MIA--19.710677100089%
6Bye
Season5 games, 16.0 a game79.93827289400075%

Still to play

  1. Wk 7 at BAL Sun Oct 25
  2. Wk 8 vs TEN Sun Nov 1
  3. Wk 9 at ATL Sun Nov 8
  4. Wk 10 vs PIT Sun Nov 15
  5. Wk 11 at WSH Mon Nov 23
  6. Wk 12 vs NO Sun Nov 29
  7. Wk 13 at CLE Sun Dec 6
  8. Wk 14 vs KC Sun Dec 13
  9. Wk 15 at CAR Sun Dec 20
  10. Wk 16 at IND Sun Dec 27
  11. Wk 17 vs BAL Thu Dec 31
  12. Wk 18 vs CLE Sun Jan 10

Our read

Written Sun 12:01 am Central, for week 6

Cincinnati doesn't play in week 6 of 2026, so Chase sits out the bye and puts up zero points for you this week. He's got no designation on Sunday's report and remains first among Bengals receivers, so this is purely the schedule, nothing about his health or his role. Through 5 games he's run at 16 PPR points a game with 4 touchdowns, and his next action is week 7 away at Baltimore, kicking off Sunday 12:00 pm Central. Leave him on the roster, make no lineup move this week, and get him back in for the Ravens.

Written Oct 19, from his facts through last season

Five weeks of 2026 leave Ja'Marr Chase at 16.0 points a game, and that is below even last season's 19.6, a season where scoring already fell off his 2024 pace of 23.71. The fall costs him, and it is not just week 1 of 2026's 3.2. Weeks 1 and 4 of 2026 combined for fewer points than week 2 of 2026 alone.

Rest of season150.8PPR points from week 6
Preseason projection333projected PPR points

The usage still looks right. He ran 94.4% of Cincinnati's snaps last season and took 32% of the targets, both WR2 or WR3 among qualifying receivers, and Tee Higgins was nowhere close at 19%, so the pecking order has not moved. This year he is at 15% of his team's red-zone carries and targets, WR13 among 64 receivers with 20 or more of his own. What has slipped is the ball traveling to him downfield: 26% of team air yards, WR41, down from 34.4% last season. That is what tells us whether the 16.0 is a slump or a role change.

History says he bounces when the volume stays put. Last season he beat the position's weekly median in all 16 games and cleared 15 points in 11 of them, and he still finished WR4 among 240 qualifying receivers at 313.6 points. The one game he sat out all of 2025 was a league suspension, not an injury, and he has played every week so far in 2026.

Our preseason number was 333 points, 22.2 a game over 15 expected games, and none of that assumed the downfield targets drying up. He is still on our board at overall rank 2. Hold him through his bye in week 6 of 2026 and expect week 7 of 2026 to tell us which season we are getting.

Ja'Marr Chase in every format
FormatOur rankRest of season from week 6Over replacementTier
PPR24150.8+52.83
Half PPR28123.7+40.23
Standard3196.6+28.33

Wk 7, Opp rank and Δ Proj are this week's, read as the page opens.

Stats from the NFL's records, scored in PPR.

Stats from nflverse and charting from FTN Data via nflverse, both under Creative Commons licences, our rates worked out from their counts.