Las Vegas RaidersOur read
Written Oct 19, from his facts through last season
The case for Jeanty right now is not the runs, it is the scoring chances. He is taking 52% of LV's red-zone carries and targets and over half the carries inside the ten, both top-eight among qualifying backs, and that role is why he sits at 16.9 a game when our preseason pace had him at 15.3. He has played all five weeks, week 1 of 2026 went for 32.7, and the touches keep coming under the new staff.
Now the part that costs him. The ground game is not working: -0.2 rushing yards over expected per carry, -15 across 88 tracked attempts, and 1.7 yards after contact, RB30 among 53 backs with the same volume. In weeks 2 through 5 of 2026 he has not cleared 19 points in any of them, and 2 touchdowns across five games of 2026 is thin for a back fed this deep in scoring range. Backs in this spot, heavy red-zone work on bad efficiency, tend to hold up only while the touchdowns keep arriving. Two is not a cushion.
Our preseason number was 214 points with most outcomes landing between 176 and 253, and he is pacing fine against it despite the ground game. He is still giving you more than where he went before the season. Klint Kubiak and Andrew Janocko are new to the play calling, so there is room for the efficiency to swing either way, but the role is secure and he is listed first among LV backs with only Dylan Laube behind him. The call is to keep starting him in week 6 of 2026 and every week after, and check whether the per-carry numbers turn before the week 15 to 17 stretch against DEN, TEN and ARI.