Atlanta FalconsOur read
Written Oct 17, from his facts through last season
The starts so far are moving the right way, 12.04 in week 3 of 2026 and 12.72 in week 4 of 2026, with the week 5 of 2026 game still ahead of him. That is 13.1 points a game on the season, already clear of the 9.4 pace our preseason number assumed, and we only expected him for 5 games all year. Every week he keeps standing is a week he beats that expectation.
Worth knowing first: he sat out weeks 1 and 2 of 2026 entirely, so this is a three-game sample, not five.
The blitz pressure is the part worth your attention. Teams are sending extra rushers on 45% of his charted dropbacks, and he is getting the ball out in 2.55 seconds while taking pressure on just 13% of dropbacks. His completion rate sits half a point under expectation, QB23 among 35 quarterbacks with enough attempts to track, so nothing in the accuracy numbers says he is drowning. He has thrown for 719 yards and 3 touchdowns across those three starts.
The downside is not a talent question, it is the medical file. He played 9 of 17 in 2025 and finished the year on a reserve list from week 12 of 2025 onward with no body part ever named. Our preseason number of 47 points was built on 5 expected games for a reason. He is also listed second among ATL quarterbacks behind Tua, which caps how safe a weekly start he can be. In a one-quarterback league there is nothing here for you. If you carry two starters or a deep bench, hold him through the week 11 of 2026 bye and let the health record keep building.