Our read
Written Oct 18, from his facts through last season
The five weeks he did not play matter more than anything else here. Weeks 1 through 5 of 2026, all healthy scratches, no injury designation at any point. That is the role: emergency depth behind Cam Ward, and the new staff of Robert Saleh and Brian Daboll has shown no interest in changing it.
The production behind the role is thin anyway. He played 4 of 17 weeks in 2025, scored 29.1 points total, and beat the position's weekly median in just 1 of those games. His one big week, 26.86 points in week 18 of 2025, came with nothing on the line. He cleared 15 points in only 1 of his 4 played weeks that season, and his worst was 0.4 in week 10 of 2025. The move from Buffalo to Tennessee was never going to make him a starter again, and TEN runs the league's slowest pace at 35.2 seconds a play, which helps no quarterback sitting on the bench.
He is also 32 years old and entering his tenth season, and in 2025 he played just 34.9% of the snaps, QB63 among 81 qualifying quarterbacks. That is a career backup profile, not a stash waiting for an opening.
Our preseason number was 24 points for the season, built on an expectation of 5 games, and even that looks generous with 5 weeks already gone and his bye still coming in week 9 of 2026. The full range bottoms out at 0, and for him that is not an injury scenario, it is the most likely one. The middle range runs 9 to 40, but he has to play to touch any of it. He is giving your roster nothing while healthy scratches pile up, so send him out for a live option unless Ward gets hurt.