Our read
Written Oct 17, from his facts through last season
We gave him 37 points for the full season before it started, on 5 expected games at 7.4 a game, and 2026 has already gone past what that number could survive. He missed weeks 1, 2, 4 and 5 of 2026, played week 3 and scored nothing, and the bye in week 7 of 2026 is next. There is no injury designation, so those four weeks were coaching decisions, which is worse for a second-year seventh-round pick than a health problem would be.
The role behind the numbers is the story. In 2025 he played 4 of 17 games, and 13 of his healthy weeks ended on the sideline. He averaged 8.3 points a game, cleared 15 points once, and his worst was 2.12 in week 7 of 2025. The usage was never quarterback usage: 9 touches all season, negative 6 receiving yards, one red-zone touch, and an average depth of target of negative 6.0 yards. The move from MIA to JAX did not change any of it, because Trevor Lawrence is first on the depth chart and the staff, Liam Coen and Grant Udinski, carried over from last season.
Our board has him QB51, our projection 37 points, and even the middle range of outcomes runs 14 to 60 with injuries dragging the low end. He is already trending under every part of it. We would cut him loose and pick up a quarterback who actually takes a snap.