Payne Durham

Run of Oct 19

Payne Durham

Wk 6 -- Read as the page opens
Rest of season 14.8 from week 6, TE105 in our order
Opp rank -- vs PIT
Avg 0.3 a game in 5 games
Last 1.5 week 5 at DAL
Δ Proj --

This season 2026, PPR, through week 5

Payne Durham week by week, 2026
WkOppthe week's projectionPPR pointstargetscatchesreceiving yardsreceiving touchdownscarriesrushing yardsrushing touchdownsshare of snaps
1at CIN--0.0000000012%
2vs CLE--0.000000006%
3vs MIN--0.0100000055%
4vs GB--0.000000008%
5at DAL--1.5115000038%
Season5 games, 0.3 a game1.5215000025%

Still to play

  1. Wk 6 vs PIT Sun Oct 18
  2. Wk 7 at CAR Sun Oct 25
  3. Wk 8 vs ATL Sun Nov 1
  4. Wk 9 at CHI Sun Nov 8
  5. Wk 10 Bye
  6. Wk 11 at DET Sun Nov 22
  7. Wk 12 vs CAR Mon Nov 30
  8. Wk 13 vs LAC Sun Dec 6
  9. Wk 14 at BAL Sun Dec 13
  10. Wk 15 vs NO Sun Dec 20
  11. Wk 16 at ATL Sun Dec 27
  12. Wk 17 vs LAR Sun Jan 3
  13. Wk 18 at NO Sun Jan 10

Our read

Written Oct 17, from his facts through last season

One catch in five weeks. That is not a slow start, it is a player Tampa Bay does not use. He sits second among Buccaneers tight ends behind Cade Otton, and even Otton's own target competition is brutal with Emeka Egbuka and Mike Evans combining for 47% of Tampa's targets last season. Durham's slice of that 2025 pie was 0.7%, TE117 among 137 qualifying tight ends. Nothing in the new Zac Robinson offense has changed it through week 5 of 2026.

Rest of season14.8PPR points from week 6
Preseason projection46projected PPR points

The counting stats tell the same story: 2 targets, 1 catch, 5 receiving yards and 0 touchdowns across the five games. Last season he finished with 2 points over 8 games, TE114 among 137 qualifying tight ends, and he never cleared 15 points in any week, his worst being 0 in week 1 of 2025. The scoring-range work was just as thin, with 1 red-zone touch in 2025, TE78 among 126 qualifying tight ends, and 0 touches inside the ten.

The decline is real and dated. His points a game went from 4.31 in 2024 to 0.26 in 2025, and his yards per target fell from 8.2 to 2.8 over the same stretch. This season he has played every week, no injuries, and still cannot reach the median, with 1.5 points in week 5 of 2026 standing as his best. Our preseason number was 46 points, 3.3 a game over 14 games, and he is running nowhere near that pace.

There is no fantasy case here in any format. He has not missed a game this season, so it is not health, it is role. Let him go and spend the spot on a tight end whose team actually routes him onto the field.

Payne Durham in every format
FormatOur rankRest of season from week 6Over replacementTier
PPR37114.8−74.69
Half PPR29913.3−55.57
Standard27310.9−40.410

Wk 6, Opp rank and Δ Proj are this week's, read as the page opens.

Stats from the NFL's records, scored in PPR.

Stats from nflverse and charting from FTN Data via nflverse, both under Creative Commons licences, our rates worked out from their counts.