Our read
Written Oct 17, from his facts through last season
The hamstring that wrecked his 2024 season knocked him out of the lineup for the final nine weeks of 2024, and that is the one real shadow on this profile. He answered it the right way, playing all 17 games in 2025 and finishing QB6 among 81 qualifying quarterbacks at 308 points. At 33 and in year 11 there is no fresh injury designation this season either, and he has played all five weeks of 2026.
The weekly shape so far fits what we expected. Our preseason pace was 19.6 points a game, and he is at 18.4 through five weeks, with week 2 of 2026 the spike at 29.76 and week 5 of 2026 the low at 12.64. Nine touchdowns and 1,381 pass yards carry the line, because the legs are not adding much: 12 carries and 66 yards in five games. That is the real downside for a quarterback turning 34 next year. When the passing week is only okay, there is no rushing to save it, and that is what week 5 of 2026 looked like.
The pocket work is still good. He is pressured on 25% of his dropbacks this season and blitzed on 33% of all 209 charted dropbacks, yet he is completing 3 percentage points over expectation, QB16 among 35 quarterbacks. Handling that volume of pressure without turnovers is why the weeks keep landing above the position median, as they did in 12 of 17 games in 2025. Our number is 274 points, and through five weeks he is on pace to clear it. Start him in week 6 of 2026 and keep him in your lineup until the legs or the hamstring say otherwise.