Justin Herbert

Run of Oct 19

Justin Herbert

Wk 6 -- Read as the page opens
Rest of season 148.1 from week 6, QB17 in our order
Opp rank -- at KC
Avg 10.7 a game in 5 games
Last 10.2 week 5 vs DEN
Δ Proj --

This season 2026, PPR, through week 5

Justin Herbert week by week, 2026
WkOppthe week's projectionPPR pointscompletions of attemptspassing yardspassing touchdownsinterceptionscarriesrushing yardsrushing touchdownsfumbles lost
1vs ARI--13.317/272091152900
2vs LV--7.915/27192123200
3at BUF--12.720/342261141700
4at SEA--9.619/311891264001
5vs DEN--10.214/241211165401
Season5 games, 10.7 a game53.785/143937572414202

Still to play

  1. Wk 6 at KC Sun Oct 18
  2. Wk 7 Bye
  3. Wk 8 at LAR Sun Nov 1
  4. Wk 9 vs HOU Sun Nov 8
  5. Wk 10 at BAL Mon Nov 16
  6. Wk 11 vs NYJ Sun Nov 22
  7. Wk 12 vs NE Sun Nov 29
  8. Wk 13 at TB Sun Dec 6
  9. Wk 14 at LV Sun Dec 13
  10. Wk 15 vs SF Thu Dec 17
  11. Wk 16 at MIA Sun Dec 27
  12. Wk 17 vs KC Sun Jan 3
  13. Wk 18 at DEN Sun Jan 10

Our read

Written Oct 17, from his facts through last season

The tracking numbers are the case, and they are ugly. He has been pressured on 28% of his 175 dropbacks through week 5 of 2026, and blitzed on 25% of all 175 charted dropbacks, and when he does get a throw off, he is completing the ball 2.8 percentage points below expectation over 143 tracked attempts. That ranks QB30 among the 35 quarterbacks with 50 or more tracked attempts. For a quarterback we had QB8 before the season, that is the whole problem in two sentences.

Rest of season148.1PPR points from week 6
Preseason projection261projected PPR points

The context softens it a little. Mike McDaniel is calling plays for him for the first time this year, and new systems have taken more than five weeks to click for better offenses than this. He has also missed nothing. Five games played, no injury designation since before week 1 of 2026, and a full 16 game season behind him in 2025 at 17.8 points a game. So this is not a body problem or an availability problem. It is an accuracy and protection problem, and both have been real: 10.7 points a game against our preseason pace of 17.4, with only five touchdowns on 937 passing yards.

Where that leaves you is a hold with a deadline. We put 261 points on him for the season, and that number assumed the 2025 version. If the completion number has not climbed back toward zero by around week 9 of 2026, we would stop defending the ranking. Until then, benching him for a waiver arm costs you more than riding this out.

Justin Herbert in every format
FormatOur rankRest of season from week 6Over replacementTier
PPR104148.1−9.23
Half PPR106147.9−9.43
Standard115147.6−9.63

Wk 6, Opp rank and Δ Proj are this week's, read as the page opens.

Stats from the NFL's records, scored in PPR.

Stats from nflverse and charting from FTN Data via nflverse, both under Creative Commons licences, our rates worked out from their counts.