Jaylen Warren

Run of Oct 19

Jaylen Warren

Wk 6 -- Read as the page opens
Rest of season 160.3 from week 6, RB11 in our order
Opp rank -- at TB
Avg 18.6 a game in 5 games
Last 36.8 week 5 vs IND
Δ Proj --

This season 2026, PPR, through week 5

Jaylen Warren week by week, 2026
WkOppthe week's projectionPPR pointscarriesrushing yardsrushing touchdownstargetscatchesreceiving yardsreceiving touchdownsfumbles lostshare of snaps
1vs ATL--10.31046065270137%
2at NE--9.71143042340071%
3vs CIN--20.617127043490090%
4at CLE--15.61793063330097%
5vs IND--36.815101166871087%
Season5 games, 18.6 a game93.070410126192301176%

Still to play

  1. Wk 6 at TB Sun Oct 18
  2. Wk 7 at NO Sun Oct 25
  3. Wk 8 vs CLE Sun Nov 1
  4. Wk 9 Bye
  5. Wk 10 at CIN Sun Nov 15
  6. Wk 11 at PHI Sun Nov 22
  7. Wk 12 vs DEN Fri Nov 27
  8. Wk 13 vs HOU Sun Dec 6
  9. Wk 14 at JAX Mon Dec 14
  10. Wk 15 vs BAL Sun Dec 20
  11. Wk 16 vs CAR Sun Dec 27
  12. Wk 17 at TEN Sun Jan 3
  13. Wk 18 at BAL Sun Jan 10

Our read

Written Oct 17, from his facts through last season

The 36.8 in week 5 of 2026 got everyone's attention, but what should hold yours is underneath it: 3.2 yards after contact a carry, first among 53 qualifying backs, and +1.8 rushing yards over expected, second behind only Kenneth Walker III among 36 tracked. This is not a hot stretch riding volume. He is running through contact better than anyone at the position, and at 18.6 a game through five weeks he is outpacing the 11.2 pace our preseason number was built on. That number, the 157 we gave him for the full season, looks light the way he is going.

Rest of season160.3PPR points from week 6
Preseason projection157projected PPR points

The case is still the same shape as last season, when he beat the weekly median in all 16 games he played, because he catches it. 19 grabs and 230 receiving yards through week 5 of 2026 carry the weeks the rushing score does not come. What holds him below the top tier is end-zone work: 25% of his team's red-zone carries and targets but just 1 of 7 touches inside the ten, 41st among 65 backs, and 2 touchdowns total. His target share already fell from 11.7% to 9.0% between 2024 and 2025, and backs in that spot tend to shave a point or two a game when the touchdowns stay away.

Availability has not been the problem, one missed stretch in weeks 4 and 5 of 2024 is the only stain, and there is no designation now. Keep starting him every week through the week 9 of 2026 bye and see if the scores catch up to the running.

Jaylen Warren in every format
FormatOur rankRest of season from week 6Over replacementTier
PPR18160.3+62.54
Half PPR17145.0+61.64
Standard14125.0+57.03

Wk 6, Opp rank and Δ Proj are this week's, read as the page opens.

Stats from the NFL's records, scored in PPR.

Stats from nflverse and charting from FTN Data via nflverse, both under Creative Commons licences, our rates worked out from their counts.