Kaelon Black

Run of Oct 19

Kaelon Black

Wk 6 -- Read as the page opens
Rest of season 44.7 from week 6, RB53 in our order
Opp rank -- vs WSH
Avg 3.0 a game in 5 games
Last 1.6 week 5 at SEA
Δ Proj --

This season 2026, PPR, through week 5

Kaelon Black week by week, 2026
WkOppthe week's projectionPPR pointscarriesrushing yardsrushing touchdownstargetscatchesreceiving yardsreceiving touchdownsfumbles lostshare of snaps
1at LAR--8.0146501150043%
2vs MIA--2.572500000033%
3vs ARI--1.741701000015%
4vs DEN--1.361300000026%
5at SEA--1.661600000018%
Season5 games, 3.0 a game15.13713602150027%

Still to play

  1. Wk 6 vs WSH Mon Oct 19
  2. Wk 7 at ATL Sun Oct 25
  3. Wk 8 Bye
  4. Wk 9 vs LV Sun Nov 8
  5. Wk 10 at DAL Sun Nov 15
  6. Wk 11 vs MIN Sun Nov 22
  7. Wk 12 vs SEA Sun Nov 29
  8. Wk 13 at NYG Sun Dec 6
  9. Wk 14 vs LAR Sun Dec 13
  10. Wk 15 at LAC Thu Dec 17
  11. Wk 16 at KC Sun Dec 27
  12. Wk 17 vs PHI Sun Jan 3
  13. Wk 18 at ARI Sun Jan 10

Our read

Written Sun 12:01 am Central, for week 6

Kaelon Black is stuck behind Christian McCaffrey in San Francisco, second among the club's running backs, and the touches have never come. Through week 5 of 2026 he's averaging 3 PPR points a game with zero touchdowns. The published projection has him at 5.4 points in PPR scoring for week 6. Washington allows 15.2 PPR points a game to running backs, 2nd of 32, a tough draw behind that depth chart. A manager holding him leaves him out of the lineup Monday night.

Written Oct 19, from his facts through last season

Everything about this roster spot says wait, and the first five weeks say don't. Kaelon Black sits second among SF running backs behind Christian McCaffrey, and the touches tell you exactly what that means: 1 of his team's 25 carries and targets inside the ten, 7 of 48 red-zone chances in his games, 37 carries through five weeks and two targets. The 3.0 points a game is not a slow start for a rookie, it is what the role actually is.

Rest of season44.7PPR points from week 6
Preseason projection59projected PPR points

The preseason case for him was always the injury scenario. Our number had 59 points for the season on 12 expected games, the idea being that a third-round pick on a Kyle Shanahan team becomes fantasy-relevant if the back ahead of him goes down. McCaffrey has played every week so far and carries no designation, so that scenario is sitting unopened. Until it opens, Black is a name on a depth chart, and Shanahan himself calls the plays, which has not loosened anything for the backups.

There is a real downside here beyond the usage: our pace for him was 4.9 points a game, and he is running more than a point and a half under it with zero touchdowns since his 8-point week 1 of 2026. The yards after contact, 1.5 a carry, rank him mid-pack rather than promising a breakout that forces more carries. We would drop him and use the roster spot on a back with a live path. If you can stash him on a deep bench, the only thing worth waiting for is news on McCaffrey.

Kaelon Black in every format
FormatOur rankRest of season from week 6Over replacementTier
PPR20744.7−53.112
Half PPR20841.1−42.39
Standard18140.5−27.49

Wk 6, Opp rank and Δ Proj are this week's, read as the page opens.

Stats from the NFL's records, scored in PPR.

Stats from nflverse and charting from FTN Data via nflverse, both under Creative Commons licences, our rates worked out from their counts.