Our read
Written Oct 19, from his facts through last season
The red-zone role is what changed, and it is what makes this season real. He is taking 59% of KC's red-zone carries and targets, second among running backs behind only Bijan Robinson, and 70% of the carries inside the ten, which leads the position. Last year in SEA his red-zone share of his own touches sat at 14.4%, RB76. Same runner, different job.
The efficiency is not a mirage either. He leads all backs with 25 or more tracked carries at +2.4 rushing yards over expected per carry, and his 3.1 yards after contact per carry is second only to Jaylen Warren. Six touchdowns in four games, 27.5 points a game, no missed weeks. The 2025 version scored above the weekly median 14 of 17 games but left points on the table because the end-zone work was not there. Now it is.
Where the receiving work goes, that is the one soft spot in the profile. His target share dropped from 13.8% in 2024 to 7.9% in 2025, and Rashee Rice and Travis Kelce combined for 48% of KC targets last season, so the receiving ceiling is limited. He also missed 5 games in 2024 with the ankle, though he played all 17 last year and has no designation since before week 1 of 2026. Our number was 216 points, RB9 at the position, and he is beating the 15.4-a-game pace we set for him by a wide margin. Start him without a second thought and enjoy the ride while the touchdowns keep coming.