Justin Jefferson

Run of Oct 19

Justin Jefferson

Wk 7 -- Read as the page opens
Rest of season 122.7 from week 6, WR19 in our order
Opp rank -- vs IND
Avg 15.4 a game in 4 games
Last 18.8 week 5 at NO
Δ Proj --

This season 2026, PPR, through week 5

Justin Jefferson week by week, 2026
WkOppthe week's projectionPPR pointstargetscatchesreceiving yardsreceiving touchdownscarriesrushing yardsrushing touchdownsshare of snaps
1vs GB--29.29892200092%
2at CHI--8.563550000100%
3at TB--5.22232000012%
4vs MIADid not play--
5at NO--18.8767911-11089%
6Bye
Season4 games, 15.4 a game61.7241925831-11074%

Still to play

  1. Wk 7 vs IND Sun Oct 25
  2. Wk 8 at DET Sun Nov 1
  3. Wk 9 vs BUF Mon Nov 9
  4. Wk 10 at GB Sun Nov 15
  5. Wk 11 at SF Sun Nov 22
  6. Wk 12 vs ATL Sun Nov 29
  7. Wk 13 vs CAR Sun Dec 6
  8. Wk 14 at NE Thu Dec 10
  9. Wk 15 vs DET Sun Dec 20
  10. Wk 16 vs WSH Sun Dec 27
  11. Wk 17 at NYJ Sun Jan 3
  12. Wk 18 vs CHI Sun Jan 10

Our read

Written Sun 12:01 am Central, for week 6

Jefferson sits out week 6 of 2026 entirely, because the Vikings are on a bye and score no points for anyone who has him. Keep him parked on your bench and keep him rostered, no moves needed on his account this week. His next game comes in week 7, at home against the Colts. He looked like himself in week 5 with 18.8 PPR points after missing week 4, and he carries WR19 in our rest-of-season order at 122.7 PPR points. No designation for him on Sunday's report, so the only job this week is patience.

Written Oct 17, from his facts through last season

Last season is the whole question. He went from 18.68 points a game in 2024 to 11.85 in 2025, and yards per target fell from 10 to 7.5. He cleared 15 points in only 4 of 17 weeks, and the red-zone work leaned thin, 12.6% of his own touches, WR95 among 223. That is a real fall, not a one-week bad stretch, and it has to sit in the note before anything good does.

Rest of season122.7PPR points from week 6
Preseason projection271projected PPR points

The case for the bounce-back is that everything around the scoring held. He took 30% of the targets and played 94% of the snaps, WR7 and WR4 among qualifying receivers, and 40.1% of the team's air yards. Among players in his spot, points a game rose about 5.8 the next season off a target share like that, 2.9 off the snap share, and 2.1 off an 11.8 average. The first five weeks point the same way: 15.4 a game over four played, 29.2 in week 1 of 2026, and the red-zone share is up to 16% of his team's carries and targets, WR7 among 64. He sat out week 4 of 2026 but carries no designation since before week 5.

Our number was 271 before the season, 18.1 a game over the 15 games we expected, and the middle range runs 231 to 312. That needs the 2024 version to show up more than once. We would start him every week he plays and hold him, but we want three straight weeks over 15 before we call the 2025 slide a fluke.

Justin Jefferson in every format
FormatOur rankRest of season from week 6Over replacementTier
PPR45122.7+24.74
Half PPR49101.8+18.44
Standard5680.9+12.73

Wk 7, Opp rank and Δ Proj are this week's, read as the page opens.

Stats from the NFL's records, scored in PPR.

Stats from nflverse and charting from FTN Data via nflverse, both under Creative Commons licences, our rates worked out from their counts.