Luther Burden III

Run of Oct 19

Luther Burden III

Wk 6 -- Read as the page opens
Rest of season 103.5 from week 6, WR32 in our order
Opp rank -- at ATL
Avg 11.2 a game in 5 games
Last 8.9 week 5 at GB
Δ Proj --

This season 2026, PPR, through week 5

Luther Burden III week by week, 2026
WkOppthe week's projectionPPR pointstargetscatchesreceiving yardsreceiving touchdownscarriesrushing yardsrushing touchdownsshare of snaps
1at CAR--9.55563012073%
2vs MIN--6.27332000057%
3vs PHI--19.811761117061%
4vs NYJ--11.464630111056%
5at GB--8.96447042077%
Season5 games, 11.2 a game55.835232661722064%

Still to play

  1. Wk 6 at ATL Sun Oct 18
  2. Wk 7 vs NE Thu Oct 22
  3. Wk 8 at SEA Mon Nov 2
  4. Wk 9 vs TB Sun Nov 8
  5. Wk 10 Bye
  6. Wk 11 vs NO Sun Nov 22
  7. Wk 12 at DET Thu Nov 26
  8. Wk 13 vs JAX Sun Dec 6
  9. Wk 14 at MIA Sun Dec 13
  10. Wk 15 at BUF Sat Dec 19
  11. Wk 16 vs GB Fri Dec 25
  12. Wk 17 vs DET Sun Jan 3
  13. Wk 18 at MIN Sun Jan 10

Our read

Written Oct 17, from his facts through last season

The scoring chances are finally reaching him, and that is the reason to keep waiting. Through week 5 of 2026 he has gotten 14% of Chicago's red-zone carries and targets, 10 of 74, which puts him WR18 among 64 receivers with 20 or more touches of their own. Last year he had 4 red-zone touches all season and never touched the ball inside the ten. The deep work came along too: 27% of the team's air yards in his games, WR36 in that same group. This is a different usage shape than the 7.7-yard average depth of target he played at as a rookie.

Rest of season103.5PPR points from week 6
 50.7his ADP in PPR drafts
Preseason projection187projected PPR points

The results have not followed yet. He is at 11.2 points a game against the 14.4 pace we set before the season, one touchdown on the year, and week 3 of 2026's 19.8 is the only lineup-worthy week on his page. Our 187-point projection had him as a back-end WR2, and we took him 65th overall while drafters spent the 50.7 pick, so the margin for error is thin. Ben Johnson still calls the plays, and Rome Odunze and Colston Loveland took 40% of Chicago's targets between them last season. Among receivers in this spot, scoring fell 0.9 points a game the next season on average, a drag the crowded room imposes.

He has played every week, and the schedule gives him Buffalo, Green Bay and Detroit over weeks 15 to 17 of 2026 before his week 10 bye even arrives. Deeper leagues are where we would keep him rostered, and we would sit him in fantasy lineups until the kind of 19.8-point spike he had in week 3 of 2026 shows up more than once.

Luther Burden III in every format
FormatOur rankRest of season from week 6Over replacementTier
PPR72103.5+5.54
Half PPR7884.0+0.64
Standard9564.6−3.74

Wk 6, Opp rank and Δ Proj are this week's, read as the page opens.

Stats from the NFL's records, scored in PPR.

Stats from nflverse and charting from FTN Data via nflverse, both under Creative Commons licences, our rates worked out from their counts.