Our read
Written Oct 19, from his facts through last season
O'Connell has not played a snap in 2026. He did not play in weeks 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 of 2026, and he carries the O designation into week 6 of 2026, so the waiting has already cost him a quarter of the season before he takes a single drop.
The real wall is where he sits in Las Vegas. He is listed third among LV quarterbacks, behind Kirk Cousins and rookie Fernando Mendoza, and no recent headlines suggest that is moving. Even in the best recent version of this situation, 2024, he put up 93.5 points over 9 games and finished QB37. Last year the bottom fell out entirely: one appearance in week 18 of 2025, 4.78 points in it, and his per-game scoring fell from 10.4 in 2024 to 4.78 in 2025. The yardage efficiency ticked up, but on one touch, which tells you nothing. He dressed for only that one game all season, and LV had six healthy weeks where the staff still would not put him on the field.
We set his preseason number at 52 points over 5 expected games, 10.4 a game, and that always counted on a depth chart reshuffle that has not come. He is QB40 on our board, third-string on his own team, and there is no week on the schedule you can point to and say he starts. There are 9 players left in his tier before a 3.5-point cliff, and none of them helps you this week either. If a quarterback injury in Las Vegas opens a door, revisit him then. Until that happens, this is a drop in every league size. Cut him and use the spot on a player who can actually take a snap for you.