Our read
Written Oct 19, from his facts through last season
Everything about this note is the games. We expected 4 all season, at a pace of 10.8 points a game, and through week 5 of 2026 he has played none of them. Weeks 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 are all missed weeks, and he carries an O designation since before week 6 of 2026. Even if he gets healthy tomorrow, the path to snaps runs through Aaron Rodgers first and Mason Rudolph second, and he is listed fourth among the PIT quarterbacks.
The rookie case was always about next year, not this fall. He went at pick 76 in the 2026 draft to a PIT staff that is brand new, with Mike McCarthy running the show and Brian Angelichio calling plays for the first time here. Nothing in that setup points to a rookie fourth-stringer getting live reps this year, and a week 9 of 2026 bye gives him one fewer week to matter even if the depth chart moves. The PIT passing game he would step into threw on 59% of situation-neutral plays last year, and the targets there leaned on DK Metcalf at 22% and Kenny Gainwell at 16%, so there was never much waiting for a rookie to inherit. His bye still ahead, weeks 15 to 17 of 2026 bring home games against BAL and CAR before a trip to TEN, the only stretch where any of this could matter at all.
For a manager right now, he is a stash only if you have the room, because our 43 points came from a season we thought would be short anyway, and this one is trending shorter. If your bench has a live weekly option on it, drop Allar for that and let someone else hold the third-round pick who has yet to dress.