Our read
Written Oct 17, from his facts through last season
Mills has been inactive or unused for all five weeks of 2026, and nothing in the setup suggests that changes soon. He is listed second among Houston quarterbacks behind C.J. Stroud, and with Stroud healthy and the coaching staff of DeMeco Ryans and Nick Caley continuing from last season, there is no competition storyline here. Even when Mills did see the field in 2025, it was 6 games, 11.1 points a game, and a high week of 25.68 in week 10 of 2025 that looks like the ceiling more than the norm. He cleared 15 points in just 2 of those 6 played weeks, and his worst was 1.22 in week 5 of 2025.
The preseason view had him at 33 points for the full season on an expectation of 5 games, with our pace working out to 6.6 points a game. That number assumed some spot starts, and so far we have not even gotten those. He has no injury designation, so the five missed weeks are healthy weeks spent holding a clipboard, which is worse for a fantasy manager than a banged-up starter would be.
There is a real downside in the shape of his history too: 4 games played in 2024 at 9.6 points a game, 5 in 2023 at 15.8, so the 2025 bump to 11.1 over 6 games came in the season he played most. Houston threw on 56% of situation-neutral plays that year, and his touches still totaled just 13, QB45 among 81 qualifying quarterbacks. Nothing here is worth a roster spot while Stroud is upright. If you have a deep bench and can stash a handcuff, fine, otherwise look elsewhere.