Our read
Written Oct 19, from his facts through last season
He did not play in weeks 1, 3, 4 and 5 of 2026, and the one game he did play, week 2 of 2026, produced 1.2 points on two carries with zero targets. He carries an O designation going into week 6 of 2026, and his bye in week 10 of 2026 is still ahead. Our preseason number was 66 points, built on 12 games at 5.5 a game. He is nowhere near that pace and there is no sign he gets the chance to close the gap.
The problem is the crowd around him in Philadelphia. He is listed fourth among PHI receivers, behind DeVonta Smith, Dontayvion Wicks and Makai Lemon, with A.J. Brown above them all. Brown and Smith took 54% of PHI targets in 2025, and among players in a room this crowded, scoring fell 0.9 points a game the next season on average. Even last year's 8.6 a game came on a 14.3% target share, down from 19.0% in 2024, and he cleared 15 points in only 2 of his 16 weeks in 2025.
The one thing working for him is a 19.5% air-yards share, which has been worth 1.3 more points a game the next season for players in his spot. But at 29.3 years old, in year eight, with no ADP before the season and a 2024 where he played 2 of 17 games, we would not wait on this. Let him go and use the spot on a receiver who is actually on the field.