Zay Flowers

Run of Oct 19

Zay Flowers

Wk 6 -- Read as the page opens
Rest of season 154.2 from week 6, WR8 in our order
Opp rank -- at CLE
Avg 20.5 a game in 4 games
Last 14.6 week 5 at ATL
Δ Proj --

This season 2026, PPR, through week 5

Zay Flowers week by week, 2026
WkOppthe week's projectionPPR pointstargetscatchesreceiving yardsreceiving touchdownscarriesrushing yardsrushing touchdownsshare of snaps
1at IND--26.065150100029%
2vs NODid not play--
3at DAL--15.465840120033%
4vs TEN--25.8108118100073%
5at ATL--14.698530113082%
Season4 games, 20.5 a game81.831264052233055%

Still to play

  1. Wk 6 at CLE Sun Oct 18
  2. Wk 7 vs CIN Sun Oct 25
  3. Wk 8 at BUF Sun Nov 1
  4. Wk 9 vs JAX Thu Nov 5
  5. Wk 10 vs LAC Mon Nov 16
  6. Wk 11 at CAR Sun Nov 22
  7. Wk 12 at HOU Sun Nov 29
  8. Wk 13 Bye
  9. Wk 14 vs TB Sun Dec 13
  10. Wk 15 at PIT Sun Dec 20
  11. Wk 16 vs CLE Sun Dec 27
  12. Wk 17 at CIN Thu Dec 31
  13. Wk 18 vs PIT Sun Jan 10

Our read

Written Oct 19, from his facts through last season

Flowers is beating the pace we set for him. Our projection was 252 points for 2026 on the 15 games we expected from him, 16.8 a game, and he is running at 20.5 a game through the weeks played so far in 2026, even with the miss. The one game he sat out this season was week 2 of 2026. He carries no injury designation heading into his next game in 2026, and the last two seasons say he plays 17.

Rest of season154.2PPR points from week 6
Preseason projection252projected PPR points

The 29% target share he held in 2025 is what drove him to finish seventh among qualifying receivers in points and sixth in receiving yards. Receivers in his spot have added 10.1 points a game the following season on average, net of seven factors, and the 86.6% snap share has added 8 more on its own. He is second among tracked receivers in yards after the catch over expectation this year, +2.8 a catch, so the ball keeps turning into something.

The real downside is the scoring range. His red-zone share of his own touches was 9.4% last season, 135th among 223, and only 12 red-zone touches all year. He has run at 11% of Baltimore's red-zone carries and targets through five weeks of 2026, better but not close to the top of the board, and the 10.2-yard average depth of target caps how often he scores. That mix has cost receivers in his spot real points a game.

Start him every week from now until his bye in week 13 of 2026. If the red-zone touches climb, he is on a WR13 finish or better.

Zay Flowers in every format
FormatOur rankRest of season from week 6Over replacementTier
PPR22154.2+56.23
Half PPR26127.6+44.13
Standard26101.0+32.73

Wk 6, Opp rank and Δ Proj are this week's, read as the page opens.

Stats from the NFL's records, scored in PPR.

Stats from nflverse and charting from FTN Data via nflverse, both under Creative Commons licences, our rates worked out from their counts.