Our read
Written Sep 8, from his facts through last season
The number that should stop you here is 21. That's his total touch count from 2025, RB97 among qualifying backs, spread over nine games. Every shiny slice on his page grows out of that tiny base, including the 37.5% red-zone share that ranks fourth at the position. Our model costs that share 10.2 points a game once it nets out the other factors, and the touchdown share and inside-the-ten share drag him down another handful each. Nine red-zone touches, five inside the ten. That's not a goal-line role, that's a handful of snaps that happened to land near the end zone.
The rest of the picture doesn't rescue it. He averaged 2.7 points a game and never once cleared 15 in a week. His yards per touch slid from 6.3 in 2024 to 4.8 last year, and now he's 32.4 years old, in season ten, switching from Houston to a Las Vegas team the books posted at 5.5 wins. Both the head coach and the play caller are new. His snap share sat at 11.1%, RB108, and even early and late in the season it only moved from 12% to 17%.
Availability is worth a word too. He's expected for about 3 games with a realistic range of 0 to 10, and the low figure is the role, not the trainer's room. Our number puts him at 4 points for the season, RB132, and he has no ADP on file because nobody needs to rank him. If you're filling a bye-week hole in week 13, look anywhere else. He shouldn't cost a pick in your league.