Our read
Written Sep 8, from his facts through last season
One career game. That is the whole case against Josh Williams: 1.1 fantasy points in a single week 8 appearance last season, with eight healthy weeks after his first callup where the staff never gave him the ball. A 4.3% snap share is a cameo, worth about a point a game, and his touches and receiving work last year were basically zero across the board. Zero red-zone touches, zero touches inside the ten, a 0.0% target share among 146 qualifying backs.
Our number puts him at 4 points for 2026 with most outcomes landing between -1 and 8, because we expect him to suit up for around two games. He missed weeks 6 to 7 and 12 to 17 last year, so even his availability range of 0 to 8 games assumes some luck. Nothing was on the injury report as of September 9, and Zac Robinson taking over the play calling is a fresh start, but there is nothing in his 2025 usage to suggest a new caller changes his standing.
The honest read is that he is a fifth running back on a roster whose win total the books posted at 8.5. He is going around pick 286, which is about where you are drafting your kicker and a streamer. Let him go. If you burn a late pick here, it should be a throwaway stash you cut in week 3, not a pick you expect anything from. I would rather swing on someone with a path to touches.