Our read
Written Sep 8, from his facts through last season
The strangest file on the board is also one of the easiest calls. Lew Nichols has dressed for zero games across three professional seasons, and the sheet is explicit that none of those absences came from injury or a reserve list. Healthy scratch, every week, in Green Bay and now Pittsburgh. There is no prior production to lean on, no tracked role, nothing to project from beyond the depth chart he has not cracked.
Our number puts him at 5 points for 2026, and most outcomes land between 0 and 10. We expect him active for about 2 games, with 0 to 7 as the realistic range once injury risk is counted. Even the upside tail only reaches 19. He is 25, entering year four, a seventh-rounder from 2023, and the new staff in Pittsburgh gave him no headlines this offseason. Mike McCarthy is a new head coach there and Brian Angelichio is a new play caller, so there is not even continuity for him to fall back on. The injury report as of September 9 had no designation on file for him, which tells you this is not a health question, it has never been a health question.
Drafters have him around pick 329, which sounds like nothing, but it is still a roster spot spent on a player who has never cleared the barrier in front of him. There are 13 names in his tier before a real drop, so you can circle back late. The bye lands on week 9, one more slot he fills with nothing. I would rather use the pick on a rookie or a handcuff with a live path to carries. Let him go.