Carnell Tate

Tennessee is throwing him the ball a long way down the field, and that is the whole reason he is interesting. His 49% share of the team's air yards in his games is second among 64 qualifying receivers, one spot behind Jaxon Smith-Njigba. A rookie drafted fourth overall is already his new team's deep target, and week 4 of 2026, the 21.5-point game, is what that looks like when one falls. He has played all five weeks, no injury designation, and new play caller Brian Daboll has not buried him.

Now the part that has cost him points so far. The same five weeks gave him 3% of the team's red-zone carries and targets, WR60 among 64, and -0.4 yards after the catch per catch, WR49. Zero touchdowns on 23 catches and 274 yards is the profile in miniature: he lives far from the goal line and does not create extra yards after the grab. That caps the weeks he can deliver unless the deep shots keep turning into scores. Our preseason pace had him at 12.0 points a game over 15 expected games, and he is sitting at 9.7 through five.

The gap between the role and the scoring is the reason to hold rather than move on. Deep target leaders convert at some point, and his 3.0 yards of average separation on 37 tracked targets, WR17, says he is winning those chances. We had him at 180 points for the season, WR36 on our board, and most outcomes still fall between 148 and 213. He has not been worth where he went yet, but the usage underneath says the touchdowns are a matter of time. Keep him through his week 9 of 2026 bye and expect the week 4 shape of things more often.