Rashee Rice

One touchdown on 17 targets through four weeks, and that is the whole gap between 9.5 points a game and the 18.1 pace we set before the season. The targets are still coming. He sits second among 57 tracked receivers at 4.3 yards of separation from the nearest defender in weeks 2 and 3 of 2026, and he's turning catches into something extra at +1.3 yards after contact expectation. The part that costs him is scoring-range volume: a 24.3% touchdown-points share, a profile that has cost players in his spot 0.9 points a game the next season on average. At 7.4 yards a target, deep on the depth chart of 85 qualifiers, he needs the red-zone looks to carry. That is also why our 253 points for the season still looks reachable if the scores arrive.

The other half is whether he's on the field. He's listed Out heading into week 6 of 2026 with no headline explaining it, and the pattern behind him is ugly: 4 of 17 games in 2024, 8 of 17 in 2025 once you count the six-week suspension to open that year. Our 14-game expectation already shaded him down, and none of that has improved.

Keep him on your roster and leave him out of your lineup for now. The targets are still coming, the receiving skills look live, and the schedule softens later with three home-and-favorable weeks in weeks 15 to 17 of 2026. But until he clears the designation and posts a week above 16 points, he's a bench stash in a league where you need points now.