Our read
Written Oct 17, from his facts through last season
He caught 24 balls over the first five weeks of 2026, and that is the entire case: at 32, running third behind Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III, a possession target whose only path to fantasy relevance is pure volume in a PPR slot. When the targets came, weeks 1 through 3 of 2026, he turned them into 16.4, 9 and 21 points, and his 4.2 yards of average separation ranked third among 57 tracked receivers, one spot behind Rashee Rice. Then the looks dried up and the last two weeks came in at 2.6 and 3.4.
The structural stuff is all against him. He moved from DET to CHI in the offseason, the target competition on this roster already had Odunze and Colston Loveland at 40% combined before he arrived, and players in his spot have seen 0.9 points a game fall off the year before. He scored one touchdown through five weeks, and last season he got two red-zone touches all year at a 5.6-yard average depth of target. That is not a scoring profile waiting to bloom.
Our number set him at 51 points for the season, about 3.9 a game across the 13 games we expected, and he is ahead of that pace only because of the early spike. There is no ADP for him, seven players left in his tier before a 3.4-point drop, and the weeks 15 to 17 of 2026 stretch against BUF, GB and DET is the only reason to squint. We would let him go and keep a warmer body instead.