DJ Moore

The question mark changed over the offseason and it is not the move to Buffalo anymore. He played 17 games three seasons running, 2023 through 2025, and that durability was part of where drafters took him at 47.4. Now he sat out week 5 of 2026 with a doubtful tag going into week 6 of 2026, and until he is back on the field the availability case is frozen.

The role case is real but narrower than you want. He is listed first among BUF receivers, took 27% of his team's air yards through week 5 of 2026, and is winning separation at 2.9 yards. But his target share fell from 26.6% in 2024 to 16.0% in 2025, and the crowded target room with Shakir and Coleman has cost players in his spot 0.9 points a game on average. The heavy snap share 84.8% is the part we trust, because players in that spot gained 4.9 a game the following year. The touchdown lean is the dock: 27.3% of his points came as scores, and that profile has cost 0.9 a game.

Four weeks in, 9.1 a game against our preseason pace of 14.8, and only week 1 of 2026 cracked 15. Our number still said 207 for the season, with week 7 of 2026 as his bye. Hold him through the next two weeks. If he sits out the next game too, we would look for someone else and keep him as depth.