Courtland Sutton

Run of Oct 19

Courtland Sutton

Wk 7 -- Read as the page opens
Rest of season 78.0 from week 6, WR50 in our order
Opp rank -- at ARI
Avg 5.2 a game in 6 games
Last 3.9 week 6 vs SEA
Δ Proj --

This season 2026, PPR, through week 6

Courtland Sutton week by week, 2026
WkOppthe week's projectionPPR pointstargetscatchesreceiving yardsreceiving touchdownscarriesrushing yardsrushing touchdownsshare of snaps
1at KC--3.15211000076%
2vs JAX--5.54325000073%
3vs LAR--7.67346000087%
4at SF--1.4614000074%
5at LAC--9.83218100081%
6vs SEA--3.93219000077%
Season6 games, 5.2 a game31.32813123100078%

Still to play

  1. Wk 7 at ARI Sun Oct 25
  2. Wk 8 vs KC Sun Nov 1
  3. Wk 9 at CAR Sun Nov 8
  4. Wk 10 Bye
  5. Wk 11 vs LV Sun Nov 22
  6. Wk 12 at PIT Fri Nov 27
  7. Wk 13 vs MIA Sun Dec 6
  8. Wk 14 at NYJ Sun Dec 13
  9. Wk 15 at LV Sun Dec 20
  10. Wk 16 vs BUF Fri Dec 25
  11. Wk 17 at NE Sun Jan 3
  12. Wk 18 vs LAC Sun Jan 10

Our read

Written Oct 17, from his facts through last season

5.2 points a game through week 6 of 2026 from a player we put at 201 points for the season, that is the gap, and it has not closed. He went 3.9 in week 6 of 2026 and has not cleared 10 points in any week yet. Thirteen catches on 28 targets, one touchdown, zero carries. Week 4 of 2026 was 1.4 points. The whole range bottoms out at 133 only when injuries cut the season short, and he has missed nothing, so the worry is not availability. The worry is that a 31-year-old in year nine has simply stopped converting what he is fed.

Rest of season78.0PPR points from week 6
 133PPR points in his floor season
Preseason projection201projected PPR points

Because he is still fed. The red-zone share this season, 16% of DEN's red-zone carries and targets in his games (6 of 38), ranks eighth among 64 receivers with 20 or more carries and targets of their own, an upgrade on 2025, when his red-zone share of his own touches, 15.3%, ranked 66th among 223 qualifying receivers. He also sits 11th in his team's share inside the ten. The role is real. What is broken is the separation, 2.5 yards on average over 18 tracked targets in weeks 1, 3 and 4 of 2026, 42nd among 57 receivers, so defenders are closer to him at the catch than almost anyone tracked.

The case for patience rests on last season's 218 points at WR14 and a profile that has historically added points the following year for receivers with his target and snap shares. We do not see the conversion coming soon enough to act on. Bench him in week 7 of 2026 unless your alternative is worse, and if the low weeks keep coming through his week 10 bye, move on.

Courtland Sutton in every format
FormatOur rankRest of season from week 6Over replacementTier
PPR12878.0−20.05
Half PPR13963.5−20.05
Standard14849.0−19.34

Wk 7, Opp rank and Δ Proj are this week's, read as the page opens.

Stats from the NFL's records, scored in PPR.

Stats from nflverse and charting from FTN Data via nflverse, both under Creative Commons licences, our rates worked out from their counts.