Our read
Written Oct 17, from his facts through last season
No ADP on him anywhere before the season, and five weeks into 2026 he is outplaying what little we expected. Four touchdowns on seven catches and 130 yards, with zeroes in weeks 1 and 3 of 2026 around a 10.6 in week 2, then 18.3 and 15.1 in weeks 4 and 5. That streak is a fragile one.
Here is what the four touchdowns rest on. Thirteen targets in five games, no carries, and last season zero red-zone touches and zero looks inside the ten. His average depth of target was 9.9 yards in 2025, and he was sixth among Philadelphia receivers on the latest chart we hold, behind DeVonta Smith, Dontayvion Wicks, Makai Lemon and Marquise Brown. A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith took 54% of the targets in this offense in 2025. Receivers in his spot dropped 0.9 points a game from one season to the next on average. The scoring burst is riding a target volume that does not feed a sixth receiver.
Last season he played 6 games, never cleared 15 points in any of them, and beat the position's weekly median in only 2, so the 8.8 a game sits far above anything he has sustained. Our preseason number was 46 points over 13 expected games, a 3.5 a game pace, and he has cleared it by a mile so far. He has not missed a week this season. We would hold him in a deep league through the bye in week 10 of 2026, but we need to see targets climb past that 13 in five games before starting him anywhere.