Kyle Williams

Before the 18.1 in week 5 of 2026, the season looked like this: 0, 2, 4.4, 0. That 4.9 points a game through week 5 of 2026 tracks with what we expected, our preseason pace of 3.9 off 54 points for the year, but it tracks with the bad parts of the case, not the good ones. One deep catch turned that 18.1 into a usable week, and without it the rest of 2026 has been nothing, 5 catches on 10 targets. That is how a 19.0-yard average depth of target, WR11 in 2025, pays out: feast or zero.

The role is thin and we can say it plainly now. Fifth among NE receivers, behind A.J. Brown, Romeo Doubs, DeMario Douglas and Mack Hollins. In 2025 he ran routes on 30.7% of snaps and took 4.4% of targets, and he never got a touch inside the red zone or inside the ten. Josh McDaniels and Mike Vrabel are both back, so nothing in the setup points to a leap.

The numbers behind that read are ugly in the right places. A 36.6% touchdown-points share, and players in his spot have dropped 2 points a game the following season. The crowded room costs another 0.9, the touchdown rate another 0.7. That touchdown-heavy profile has docked players in his spot 2 points a game the next year on average, and that is the number to weigh against the one big week. Our board still has him WR116 with 11 names left in his tier before a 3.4-point drop, and with no ADP he cost nobody a pick. If week 5 of 2026 repeats against a real role, revisit him. Until then, in a 12-team league, he is waiver wire depth you can let go of.